The HayWired Connection: Societal consequences of earthquakes

Why HayWired?

The HayWired earthquake scenario, led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), anticipates the impacts of a hypothetical, highly detailed and scientifically plausible magnitude-7.0 earthquake on the Hayward Fault and its aftershock. The scenario emphasizes the myriad of physical, technological, and societal impacts associated with the multiple hazards and cascading impacts of such an event. It was developed to engage with and guide residents, businesses, and policymakers of the bay region in earthquake-risk reduction and resilience-building actions. Such actions taken now, before an earthquake, will help to save lives and preserve well-being, maintain functional buildings and infrastructure, keep people in their homes, and keep businesses open, shortening the bay region’s recovery time when the next earthquake occurs.

Why Now?

As we complete Volume 3, Societal Consequences, we find ourselves in unprecedented times, with a pandemic changing daily life, wildfires raging around California, and protests for racial justice. Yet we can also use this time to reflect on the many investments in earthquake readiness we’ve already made, and to engage on the research finding in areas such as:

  • understand the societal impacts when buildings and infrastructure are damaged
  • expand earthquake exercise options
  • explore the policies and actions needed to reduce earthquake risk
  • drive future directions for societal impact analyses

Upcoming Events

HayWired: A Disaster for Wired and Wireless Voice and Data?

Q&A focus on Santa Clara County

April 14, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM PDT

This webinar series presents results of the HayWired earthquake scenario telecommunications and ICT study. The scenario analysis illustrates disruption to voice and data services from impacts to our fixed and mobile internet and voice communications infrastructure, electric power outages, and surges in demand for services following a disaster. Discussion points include the key levers that determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect recovery from the event. The authors of the Telecommunications & ICT chapter will present their analysis, the processes used to create the analysis, and answer your questions.

Register for the Santa Clara County webinar: Eventbrite

HayWired: A Disaster for Wired and Wireless Voice and Data?

Q&A focus on Contra Costa County

April 28, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM PDT

This webinar series presents results of the HayWired earthquake scenario telecommunications and ICT study. The scenario analysis illustrates disruption to voice and data services from impacts to our fixed and mobile internet and voice communications infrastructure, electric power outages, and surges in demand for services following a disaster. Discussion points include the key levers that determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect recovery from the event. The authors of the Telecommunications & ICT chapter will present their analysis, the processes used to create the analysis, and answer your questions.

Register for the Contra Costa County webinar: Eventbrite

HayWired: A Disaster for Wired and Wireless Voice and Data?

Q&A focus on Napa & Sonoma Counties

May 12, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM PDT

This webinar series presents results of the HayWired earthquake scenario telecommunications and ICT study. The scenario analysis illustrates disruption to voice and data services from impacts to our fixed and mobile internet and voice communications infrastructure, electric power outages, and surges in demand for services following a disaster. Discussion points include the key levers that determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect recovery from the event. The authors of the Telecommunications & ICT chapter will present their analysis, the processes used to create the analysis, and answer your questions.

Register for the Napa & Sonoma Counties webinar: Eventbrite

Past Events

HayWired: An Economic Disaster?

October 22, 10:30 AM - 12:00 PM PDT

This webinar presents the major results for the HayWired earthquake scenario economic study, which illustrate that it is a major disaster for the region, but one the region has the resources to recover from. The key levers that will determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect the future following recovery will all be discussed. A panel of experts in buildings, business, resilience, and the economy will weigh in and answer your questions.

The presentation from this webinar can be downloaded here as a PDF.

This webinar is also available to view on YouTube.

Wired: A Call to Action

November 2, 3:00 - 4:30 PM PST

In this webinar we will highlight the HayWired themes of interconnectedness with a summary of the utility and transportation system restoration, economic impact analyses of the disruption of water, power, and telecommunication services, and an economic impact analysis of commute disruption. Our region’s heavy concentration of professional, scientific and technical work relies on employees having power and internet access and water and wastewater services, regardless of where they work, and the sudden loss thereof will be significant. Despite progress since Loma Prieta, this analysis illustrates some of the investments, planning and coordination that are still needed. These findings inform a call to action for more preparations for businesses of all sizes, as well as our infrastructure providers.

The presentation from this webinar can be downloaded here as a PDF.

This webinar is available to view on YouTube.

Modeling Economic Impacts of Earthquakes: Research and Practice

November 19, 3:00 - 4:30 PM PST

The objective of this workshop is to investigate how modeling of economic impacts of disasters can inform policy-making and planning at the city, county, and regional levels in the San Francisco Bay Area. The findings from the HayWired economic modeling effort will be shared to motivate the discussion and receive feedback on how such modeling exercises can be effectively used in practice. This workshop will also examine the current state of economic impact modeling and the use of modeling results in recent disaster recovery efforts. Based on the findings of the workshop, key fundamental and applied research questions and practitioner needs related to disaster economic modeling will be identified.

The presentation from this webinar can be downloaded here as a PDF.

This webinar is also available to view on YouTube.

HayWired: A Disaster for Wired and Wireless Voice and Data?

Q&A focus on Alameda County

March 17, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM PDT

This webinar series presents results of the HayWired earthquake scenario telecommunications and ICT study. The scenario analysis illustrates disruption to voice and data services from impacts to our fixed and mobile internet and voice communications infrastructure, electric power outages, and surges in demand for services following a disaster. Discussion points include the key levers that determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect recovery from the event. The authors of the Telecommunications & ICT chapter will present their analysis, the processes used to create the analysis, and answer your questions.

HayWired: A Disaster for Wired and Wireless Voice and Data?

Q&A focus on San Mateo County

March 31, 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM PDT

This webinar series presents results of the HayWired earthquake scenario telecommunications and ICT study. The scenario analysis illustrates disruption to voice and data services from impacts to our fixed and mobile internet and voice communications infrastructure, electric power outages, and surges in demand for services following a disaster. Discussion points include the key levers that determine how serious the immediate effects will be, what we can do about managing vulnerability and effects, and critical decisions that would affect recovery from the event. The authors of the Telecommunications & ICT chapter will present their analysis, the processes used to create the analysis, and answer your questions.